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Why Does the Appraisal Always Come in at Contract Price?

By Jeff Prewitt
Why Does the Appraisal Always Come in at Contract Price?

If you've been in real estate long enough, you've probably had this experience: you help your buyer negotiate what feels like a solid deal, maybe you got the seller to come down 3-5% from the listing price, and then the appraisal comes back at exactly the contract price. Not a dollar more.

It's one of the most common questions I see in real estate groups online, and it comes up regularly in conversations with agents: "Why does the appraisal always come in at contract price? Did we actually get a deal, or is the appraiser just hitting the number?"

It's a fair question. And the answer is more nuanced than most people realize.

Sometimes Contract Price IS Market Value

This is the explanation that nobody loves to hear, but it's often the reality: the listing was overpriced, and the negotiation brought it down to where the market actually supported it.

Here's how this plays out. A home lists at $550,000. Your buyer offers $525,000, the seller counters, and you settle at $530,000. You feel like you saved your buyer $20,000. But when the appraisal comes back at $530,000, it's not because the appraiser is being lazy or just matching the contract. It's because $530,000 is what the comparable sales data actually supports. The original listing price of $550,000 was above market value, and what you really did was negotiate it down to the right price.

That's still a win for your buyer. Without that negotiation, they might have overpaid. But the equity you thought you were building in was never really there. The starting point was just higher than the market warranted.

This is especially common in markets where sellers are still pricing based on what their neighbor's house sold for a year ago, or where listing agents aren't making proper adjustments in their CMAs. The listing price feels real, but the market data tells a different story.

Some Appraisers Reconcile at Contract When Data Supports Higher

The second reason is one that most people outside of the appraisal industry don't know about, but it's very real.

Let's say an appraiser completes their analysis and the adjusted comparable range comes in at $500,000 to $535,000. The contract price is $505,000. In this scenario, the data clearly supports the contract price, and then some. But some appraisers will reconcile their value opinion right at $505,000 rather than somewhere higher in that range.

Why? There are a couple of reasons, and neither one is about cutting corners.

First, there's an informal philosophy that's been passed down in parts of the industry: if the data supports the contract price, that's enough. The thinking goes that a willing buyer and willing seller agreed on a price, the market data confirms it's reasonable, and that's your answer. This isn't taught in any textbook, but it's a mindset some appraisers develop over time.

Second, and this is the more practical reason, coming in above contract price creates extra work. When an appraisal comes in higher than the contract, lenders often push back with questions. This is especially true when the property was originally listed at or near the appraised value but took price decreases before selling.

For example, say a home was listed at $750,000, went through multiple price reductions, and eventually sold at $725,000. If the appraisal comes back at $750,000 or higher, the lender is going to have questions: "If this property was exposed to the open market at that price and couldn't sell there, how can you say it's worth that?"

Sometimes there are good answers. Maybe the property has something unique about it that the broader market reacted to more negatively than the comparable data would suggest. There are things we can't perfectly extract from data. Or maybe the listing sat during a slow time of year when it didn't get the exposure it would have in a stronger season. These are legitimate reasons a property might sell below what the numbers indicate.

But providing that additional clarification and support takes time and effort. And in a purchase transaction, the lender is going to lend on the lesser of the contract price or the appraised value anyway. So if the contract is $505,000 and the appraisal comes in at $535,000, the lender still only lends based on $505,000. The higher value doesn't change anything for the transaction.

So some appraisers make a practical decision: the data supports the contract price, coming in higher doesn't change the outcome for anyone involved in this deal, and it avoids a round of revision requests. They reconcile at contract and move on.

What an Appraisal Should Actually Do

I want to be straightforward about where I stand on this. An appraisal should be appraising the property, not the contract. The goal is to determine market value based on what the data shows, regardless of what the buyer and seller agreed to.

If the comparable sales data indicates a value of $530,000 and the contract is $505,000, I believe the appraisal should reflect $530,000. Just like an appraiser shouldn't come in at contract price when the data doesn't support it, the same principle applies in the other direction. I've come in significantly above contract price hundreds of times in recent years when the market data supported it.

That said, not every appraiser approaches it the same way. And understanding that dynamic helps you interpret what you're seeing when an appraisal comes back at contract price.

How to Tell Which Scenario You're In

When you get an appraisal back at contract price and you want to know whether your buyer actually has equity or whether contract price was the real market value all along, the answer is in the report. Specifically, it's in the adjustment grid.

The grid is usually on the second or third page of the main form. It looks like a spreadsheet that shows the subject property alongside each comparable sale with all the adjustments applied. What you want to look at is the adjusted value range and which comparables required the least amount of adjustment.

Using our earlier example: the contract is $505,000 and the adjusted comparables range from $500,000 to $535,000. Look at the gross adjustment percentages for each comp. The comps with the lowest gross adjustments are the most reliable indicators of value because they required the least amount of modification to compare to your subject property.

If the strongest comps, the ones with the lowest gross adjustments, cluster above the contract price, that suggests the appraiser may have reconciled at contract when the data could have supported higher. Your buyer may indeed have some built-in equity that the appraisal isn't fully reflecting.

If the strongest comps cluster right around the contract price or below it, then contract price was accurate. Your buyer got a fair deal, the negotiation worked, but the equity story isn't there.

What This Means for How You Price

This is really about understanding where value starts. If you're doing a CMA and you're not making adjustments to your comparables for time, square footage, garage, lot size, and condition, you may have an inflated sense of what a property is worth. That makes the "always at contract price" phenomenon feel more jarring than it actually is, because your expectations were off from the beginning.

When agents are pricing properties accurately and making proper adjustments, they're in a much better position to know whether their negotiation truly created equity or whether they're bringing the price in line with market reality. Both are valuable services to a buyer, but they're different, and it helps to know which one you're providing.

The bottom line: when an appraisal comes in at contract price, don't assume the appraiser just matched the number. Open the report, look at the adjustment grid, check the gross adjustments, and see what story the data is telling. The answer is almost always right there.